{"id":252,"date":"2009-11-14T16:56:24","date_gmt":"2009-11-14T20:56:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/zzzptm.com\/wordpress\/?p=252"},"modified":"2009-11-14T16:56:24","modified_gmt":"2009-11-14T20:56:24","slug":"long-term-unemployment-trends","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zzzptm.com\/wordpress\/?p=252","title":{"rendered":"Long-Term Unemployment Trends"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Right now, we&#8217;re at 10% unemployment. While we think of this as bad right now, it may very well be the &#8220;passably good&#8221; of ten years from now, or even considered great.<\/p>\n<p>I recently read an article that showed how, without a double-dip recession and things working along normally enough after a recovery, we&#8217;d be at around just above 8% unemployment in 2020. That&#8217;s with Baby Boomers retiring on schedule and normal annual growth in the workforce each year. Should the Boomer stick it out longer, then unemployment will be higher. Same goes for a less-than-average recovery or a dreaded double-dip.<\/p>\n<p>A double-dip recession, which is a very real possibility if the government allows the 2001 tax cuts to expire in 2011, would see unemployment hit 13% and then wend its way down to around 9-10%. This isn&#8217;t some sort of crazy conspiracy theory. This is looking at the numbers and assuming normal stuff happens.<\/p>\n<p>The upshot of this is that what we once considered horrendous will soon become normal to us. <\/p>\n<p>Don&#8217;t quit your day job.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Right now, we&#8217;re at 10% unemployment. While we think of this as bad right now, it may very well be the &#8220;passably good&#8221; of ten years from now, or even considered great. I recently read an article that showed how, without a double-dip recession and things working along normally enough after a recovery, we&#8217;d be [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-252","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zzzptm.com\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/252","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zzzptm.com\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zzzptm.com\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zzzptm.com\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zzzptm.com\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=252"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/zzzptm.com\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/252\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":253,"href":"https:\/\/zzzptm.com\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/252\/revisions\/253"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zzzptm.com\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=252"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zzzptm.com\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=252"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zzzptm.com\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=252"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}